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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.71+1.65vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.60+1.58vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.08-1.07vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.01+0.05vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.88-2.07vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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3.58Marquette University-1.600.1%1st Place
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1.93Washington University-0.080.4%1st Place
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4.05Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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2.93Purdue University-0.880.2%1st Place
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5.85Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 21.1% | 28.7% | 23.6% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 0.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 10.0% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 30.9% | 26.2% | 2.3% |
| Wyatt Tait | 44.6% | 29.0% | 17.0% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 6.4% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 45.0% | 4.4% |
| Alex Day | 17.4% | 22.6% | 25.5% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 1.0% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 91.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.