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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.88+1.84vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.08-0.05vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71-0.40vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.01+0.06vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.60-1.28vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Purdue University-0.880.2%1st Place
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1.95Washington University-0.080.5%1st Place
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2.6Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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4.06Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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3.72Marquette University-1.600.1%1st Place
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5.84Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Day | 17.7% | 25.4% | 24.8% | 20.4% | 11.1% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Tait | 45.1% | 27.6% | 17.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 23.0% | 26.6% | 25.2% | 18.7% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Charlton | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 44.8% | 4.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 7.7% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 30.4% | 3.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 91.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.