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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.08+0.98vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.88+0.79vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71-0.41vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.60-0.36vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.01-0.84vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Washington University-0.080.4%1st Place
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2.79Purdue University-0.880.2%1st Place
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2.59Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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3.64Marquette University-1.600.1%1st Place
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4.16Western Michigan University-2.010.0%1st Place
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5.83Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 42.4% | 31.2% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Alex Day | 20.6% | 22.1% | 25.4% | 21.8% | 9.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma Hershey | 23.3% | 24.8% | 27.0% | 19.3% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Eva Paschke | 8.9% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 27.6% | 30.0% | 2.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 21.3% | 46.4% | 6.6% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 6.5% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.