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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+6.18vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+7.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+0.02vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+2.51vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+4.52vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.09-1.57vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.56vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.71+2.67vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.05-0.82vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.70-1.10vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-4.67vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-6.00vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.97-5.63vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.26-4.26vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.43-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.3%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College1.514.0%1st Place
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3.02Stanford University3.3027.4%1st Place
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5.89Cornell University2.389.9%1st Place
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6.57University of Pennsylvania1.778.8%1st Place
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8.51University of South Florida1.604.4%1st Place
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11.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.3%1st Place
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6.43Boston College2.098.7%1st Place
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11.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.9%1st Place
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12.67Fordham University0.712.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Hawaii1.053.0%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College2.105.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin0.702.3%1st Place
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9.33Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.104.3%1st Place
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10.37Old Dominion University0.972.8%1st Place
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12.74North Carolina State University0.261.2%1st Place
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16.49University of Texas-1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.4% | 24.1% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 7.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Young | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 7.5% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.