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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.20vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.90+1.14vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.38vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.52+1.15vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College2.88-1.75vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University1.95-1.47vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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3.14Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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3.38Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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5.15Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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3.25Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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4.53Rutgers University1.950.1%1st Place
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6.35Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 40.3% | 25.6% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Allison Tracy | 17.6% | 20.3% | 21.7% | 20.0% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 14.6% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Bergan | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 38.0% | 16.6% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 15.3% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Cassie Botti | 7.6% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 25.3% | 26.4% | 7.9% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.