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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.14vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+3.40vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.07+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.77vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+0.09vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95+1.91vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.10+3.51vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.75+0.44vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College1.73-0.52vs Predicted
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10Penn State University0.99+0.92vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.80-2.72vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.33+1.92vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.85-4.87vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.61-5.20vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.86vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware0.41-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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5.4Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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4.6Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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5.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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7.91Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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10.51Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.44Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.48Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.92Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.28Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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13.92Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.13Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.8Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 27.2% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 14.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 7.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Don Hause III | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Sayre | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 38.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 24.9% | 41.4% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.