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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.15+1.25vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+0.38vs Predicted
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30.02+0.49vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College1.04-1.63vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.17-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Ohio State University1.1534.2%1st Place
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2.38Indiana University1.1926.2%1st Place
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3.490.029.2%1st Place
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2.37Hillsdale College1.0427.0%1st Place
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4.51Northwestern University-1.173.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 34.2% | 26.5% | 22.9% | 13.4% | 3.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 26.2% | 28.8% | 27.9% | 14.5% | 2.5% |
| Alex Day | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 43.5% | 17.9% |
| Arden Carleton | 27.0% | 29.0% | 26.4% | 15.4% | 2.2% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 13.2% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.