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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.08+0.77vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.71+0.28vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.60+0.23vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.01-0.29vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.46-0.74vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Washington University-0.080.5%1st Place
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2.28Ohio State University-0.710.3%1st Place
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3.23Marquette University-1.600.1%1st Place
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3.71Western Michigan University-2.010.1%1st Place
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4.26Purdue University-2.460.0%1st Place
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5.75Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 49.1% | 31.2% | 14.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Hershey | 28.7% | 33.3% | 23.5% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Eva Paschke | 11.5% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 28.4% | 15.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 6.5% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 30.4% | 28.1% | 2.9% |
| Ayden Sarber | 3.8% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 23.7% | 43.6% | 9.8% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 8.8% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.