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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.57vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.07+1.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.80vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59+3.97vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-0.46vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University1.95+0.92vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.85-0.03vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61-0.22vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.10+0.50vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College1.73-2.55vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.75-3.57vs Predicted
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13Penn State University0.99-2.25vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.33-0.11vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.86vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware0.41-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.53Washington College3.070.2%1st Place
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3.2U. S. Naval Academy3.670.3%1st Place
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8.97Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.54Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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7.92Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.78Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.5Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.45Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.43Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.75Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
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13.89Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Delaware0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 25.2% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bennung | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 24.3% | 35.9% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 24.5% | 42.5% |
| Suzanne Reynolds | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.