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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+1.42vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+0.32vs Predicted
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30.02+0.47vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University1.15-1.71vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.17-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Hillsdale College1.0427.0%1st Place
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2.32Indiana University1.1929.8%1st Place
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3.470.029.8%1st Place
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2.29Ohio State University1.1530.8%1st Place
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4.5Northwestern University-1.172.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 27.0% | 27.1% | 26.8% | 15.4% | 3.7% |
| Nithya Balachander | 29.8% | 28.0% | 25.1% | 14.5% | 2.5% |
| Alex Day | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 40.6% | 19.4% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 30.8% | 28.0% | 25.1% | 14.0% | 2.3% |
| Azim Usmanov | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 15.5% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.