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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-2.29+1.50vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-2.41+0.56vs Predicted
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3Washington University-2.19-0.70vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-3.55-0.04vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-3.63-0.86vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Purdue University-2.290.3%1st Place
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2.56Ohio State University-2.410.3%1st Place
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2.3Washington University-2.190.3%1st Place
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3.96Marquette University-3.550.1%1st Place
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4.14Western Michigan University-3.630.1%1st Place
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5.55Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Hokanson | 26.3% | 28.0% | 23.2% | 16.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Alexa Hind | 27.2% | 24.6% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Adams | 32.1% | 27.6% | 23.4% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Schacht | 7.7% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 24.7% | 34.1% | 9.0% |
| Kate Heaman | 5.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 24.2% | 35.2% | 13.5% |
| Adam Bryan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 14.7% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.