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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-2.29+1.47vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-3.63+2.04vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-3.55+0.95vs Predicted
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4Washington University-2.19-1.67vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.41-2.31vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Purdue University-2.290.3%1st Place
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4.04Western Michigan University-3.630.1%1st Place
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3.95Marquette University-3.550.1%1st Place
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2.33Washington University-2.190.3%1st Place
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2.69Ohio State University-2.410.2%1st Place
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5.53Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Hokanson | 28.2% | 28.0% | 21.1% | 15.0% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| Kate Heaman | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 23.0% | 33.3% | 12.5% |
| Matthew Schacht | 9.0% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 23.6% | 34.9% | 9.1% |
| Alexandra Adams | 32.0% | 26.1% | 23.9% | 13.2% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Alexa Hind | 22.8% | 26.2% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.