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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-2.29+1.50vs Predicted
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2Washington University-2.19+0.32vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-2.41-0.42vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-3.55-0.03vs Predicted
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5Saginaw Valley State University-5.16+0.54vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-3.63-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Purdue University-2.290.3%1st Place
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2.32Washington University-2.190.3%1st Place
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2.58Ohio State University-2.410.3%1st Place
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3.97Marquette University-3.550.1%1st Place
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5.54Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
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4.08Western Michigan University-3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Hokanson | 26.6% | 26.8% | 23.3% | 17.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Adams | 33.8% | 26.8% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Alexa Hind | 25.2% | 24.9% | 25.1% | 16.8% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Schacht | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 24.3% | 34.1% | 9.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 12.0% | 76.1% |
| Kate Heaman | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 23.2% | 36.1% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.