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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+2.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.80+3.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+2.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.61+2.29vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.67+4.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.10+2.08vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.10+4.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+0.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93-0.36vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.29-2.86vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.34-0.46vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.22-1.17vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+2.02vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+0.13vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.64-1.67vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.23-5.12vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.14-12.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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5.52Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.100.1%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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10.54Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.83McGill University0.220.0%1st Place
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15.02Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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14.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.33Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University0.230.0%1st Place
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4.72Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 25.5% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marco Welch | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Grant Schmidt | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 2.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 45.8% |
| cole capizzo | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 26.8% |
| Andrew Blagden | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 14.9% |
| Grant Smith | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Ryan McGauley | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.