← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.74+4.61vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University0.10+9.23vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.80+2.61vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University0.95+4.40vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.67+4.25vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.93+2.62vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.14-2.41vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.64-4.60vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.10-0.94vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.29-2.87vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.22-0.03vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University0.23-1.18vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.34-2.47vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.61-7.75vs Predicted
-
15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.07vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-0.64-2.51vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
-
11.23Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
5.61Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
-
8.4Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
9.25University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
-
8.62Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
-
4.59Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
3.4Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
-
8.06Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
-
7.13Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
-
10.97McGill University0.220.0%1st Place
-
10.82Northeastern University0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.53Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
-
6.25Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
-
14.93Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
-
13.49Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
-
14.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| Charles Gish | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Marco Welch | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan McGauley | 13.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 25.7% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Grant Smith | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Adam Larzelere | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 44.6% |
| Andrew Blagden | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| cole capizzo | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 22.8% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.