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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.80+4.47vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+3.70vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.22+7.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64-0.55vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.61+1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.67+3.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.95+1.41vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.14-3.40vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.34+1.57vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-1.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.29-3.66vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.10-0.75vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.10-5.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+0.11vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.23-4.20vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.64-2.53vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.82McGill University0.220.0%1st Place
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3.45Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.6Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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10.57Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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14.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.47Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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15.07Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Gish | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 23.2% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| cole capizzo | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 22.9% | 26.6% |
| Grant Smith | 1.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Blagden | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 16.5% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.