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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.80+4.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+2.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+5.47vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.95+4.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74+0.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.10+5.45vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.67+2.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.64-4.56vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.10-0.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.29-2.86vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.34-0.50vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.23-1.21vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.61-6.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+0.13vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.22-4.14vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.64-2.58vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.45Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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3.44Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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14.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.86McGill University0.220.0%1st Place
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13.42Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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15.1Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Gish | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 15.0% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Devon Owen | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Marco Welch | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Lamm | 25.4% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Grant Smith | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| cole capizzo | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 22.9% | 26.0% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Blagden | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 16.0% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 19.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.