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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+1.36vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04+0.44vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.17+1.48vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University1.15-1.81vs Predicted
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50.02-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Indiana University1.1927.9%1st Place
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2.44Hillsdale College1.0427.1%1st Place
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4.48Northwestern University-1.173.3%1st Place
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2.19Ohio State University1.1532.8%1st Place
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3.520.029.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 27.9% | 29.1% | 24.6% | 15.8% | 2.6% |
| Arden Carleton | 27.1% | 25.1% | 28.6% | 15.8% | 3.4% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 15.2% | 72.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 32.8% | 30.0% | 23.9% | 11.4% | 1.8% |
| Alex Day | 9.0% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 41.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.