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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+3.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.86+4.29vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.60+3.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+1.90vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.49-1.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.46-2.35vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.64-0.98vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.04-3.21vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.40+0.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.16-2.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.65-4.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.23-3.11vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-2.40vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-2.73vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.14-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.63Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.6Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.27Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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11.94Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 18.9% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 13.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jancy Grayson | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Grace Ivancich | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 3.3% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Greer Page | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 28.4% |
| Jason Dank | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 44.0% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.