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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.04+4.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.68+4.76vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.40+7.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.86+2.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.16+3.55vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.49-1.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.66-2.85vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.60-0.80vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.64-2.99vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.65-3.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.46-7.26vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.23-3.12vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-2.39vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.14-4.07vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.38Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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4.59Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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4.74Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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11.93Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.21Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Ivancich | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Whitman | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jancy Grayson | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Crager | 14.6% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 24.7% | 28.7% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 18.5% |
| Jason Dank | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 21.6% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.