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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.64+5.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.04+3.61vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.14+2.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.86+2.32vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.46-0.32vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.16+1.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.68-1.21vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.60-1.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.66-6.00vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.23-1.35vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.65-5.02vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.40-3.62vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.14-2.91vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-3.52vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Roger Williams University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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4.68Roger Williams University1.460.2%1st Place
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8.47Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.09Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.19Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jancy Grayson | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Ivancich | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 10.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Theresa Straw | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wallace | 17.1% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Whitman | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 4.3% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 23.6% | 20.1% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 23.1% | 26.5% |
| Jason Dank | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 22.3% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.