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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.86+5.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.04+3.65vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.46+0.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.16+3.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.66-1.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.14-1.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.60-0.90vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.64-2.02vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.68-3.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.65-3.96vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.40-1.82vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.14-0.84vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.41vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.23-5.43vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.52Roger Williams University1.460.2%1st Place
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8.41Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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4.19Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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5.47Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.16Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Skouloudi | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Grace Ivancich | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 16.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Wallace | 17.5% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jancy Grayson | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Whitman | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 19.5% | 24.6% | 18.1% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 26.5% | 27.4% |
| Greer Page | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Jason Dank | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.