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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.68+5.86vs Predicted
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3Harvard University0.60+3.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.86+2.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.49-0.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.04-0.07vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.64+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.23+1.63vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.16-0.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.46-5.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.66-6.77vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.14-1.03vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.26vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.65-7.76vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.40-5.84vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.31Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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4.58Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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5.93Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University0.640.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.49Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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4.57Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.23Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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11.97Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.24Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Theresa Straw | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jancy Grayson | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Crager | 13.9% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 15.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 19.1% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 27.6% | 27.3% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Whitman | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Jason Dank | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 22.2% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.