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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.86+5.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.04+2.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.16+4.40vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.40+5.11vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.46-1.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.66-2.96vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.60-0.97vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.64-2.01vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.14-4.57vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.65-4.97vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-0.55vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.68-6.95vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.23-5.23vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.14-4.03vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.71Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.43Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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12.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.97Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.22Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Skouloudi | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Grace Ivancich | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Jack Whitman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Jack Crager | 14.6% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 17.7% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jancy Grayson | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Collins | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 26.4% | 25.8% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 16.1% |
| Jason Dank | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 18.5% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.