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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.36+1.44vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+3.28vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.31+2.08vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.94+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.86-1.35vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+0.93vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.64-2.99vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20-0.44vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.08-3.66vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.81-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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3.44College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.08North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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6.82Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.93Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.01Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.56The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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6.34Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.95Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 16.0% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 22.8% | 20.4% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 23.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 34.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.