← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.24+5.21vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.31+3.90vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.64+2.25vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.36-0.44vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.17-1.14vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami1.86-1.40vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.08-0.69vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University0.81-0.93vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.20-0.43vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College0.37-1.97vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University0.94-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.21Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.9North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
-
5.25Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
3.56College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
-
3.86Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
-
4.6University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
-
6.31Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
7.07Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
-
8.57The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
8.03Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.64Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Jordan Vieira | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 19.9% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.5% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 12.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 35.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 25.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.