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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+5.20vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+3.86vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.36+0.58vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.94+3.03vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17-1.12vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.64-0.88vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+1.32vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.86-4.41vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.81-2.93vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.37-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.86North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.58College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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7.03Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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3.88Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.12Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.32The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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6.33Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.07Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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8.03Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 20.7% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.3% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 31.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.