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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+1.41vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University1.15+0.22vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19-0.61vs Predicted
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40.02-0.49vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.17-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Hillsdale College1.0426.6%1st Place
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2.22Ohio State University1.1533.7%1st Place
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2.39Indiana University1.1927.4%1st Place
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3.510.029.2%1st Place
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4.47Northwestern University-1.173.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 26.6% | 28.1% | 26.1% | 16.1% | 3.2% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 33.7% | 28.1% | 24.0% | 11.5% | 2.8% |
| Nithya Balachander | 27.4% | 28.2% | 25.6% | 15.4% | 3.4% |
| Alex Day | 9.2% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 40.8% | 20.3% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 16.2% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.