← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.17+2.91vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.94+4.84vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.86+1.74vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.64+1.28vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.24+1.08vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.37+2.19vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.36-3.67vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University1.08-1.67vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.20-0.41vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University0.81-3.00vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.31-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.91Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
-
6.84Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
-
4.74University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.28Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
6.08Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
-
8.19Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
3.33College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
-
6.33Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
8.59The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
7.0Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
-
5.72North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 15.9% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Vieira | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 25.3% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 24.3% | 21.6% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 6.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 35.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 11.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.