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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+2.50vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.64+3.08vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+3.26vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17-0.01vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31+0.93vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.86-2.61vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81-0.97vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.08-2.42vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.94-3.31vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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5.08Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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6.26Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.99Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.93North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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8.17Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.03Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.58Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.69Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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8.38The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 21.1% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 16.7% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 26.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 7.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.