← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.36+2.52vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.24+4.02vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.64+2.26vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.37+4.36vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.31+0.91vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University2.17-2.08vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University0.81-0.06vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University0.94-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.08-2.43vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami1.86-5.55vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel0.20-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.52College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
-
6.02Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.26Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
8.36Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.91North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
-
3.92Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
-
6.94Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
-
6.72Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
-
6.57Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
4.45University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
-
8.34The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 20.4% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 10.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 28.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 18.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 13.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 19.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.