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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.83vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+1.62vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.31+2.04vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+3.13vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.94+0.81vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-0.76vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.64-3.11vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.09-4.94vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20-1.63vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.81-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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6.06Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.04North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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8.13Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.81Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.24Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.89Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.06College of Charleston2.090.2%1st Place
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8.37The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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6.96Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 18.4% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 26.3% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Harrison Thomson | 16.7% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 32.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.