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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+3.57vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09+1.91vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+2.25vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08+1.44vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.94+0.79vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.81-0.05vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37-0.02vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.31-3.10vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20-1.60vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.64-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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3.91College of Charleston2.090.2%1st Place
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3.96Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.44Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.79Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.95Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.98Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.9North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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8.4The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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4.86Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Thomson | 19.3% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 16.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 25.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 31.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.