← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University0.61+5.77vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.61+2.31vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.62+1.46vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.12-0.61vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.08+0.53vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.54-1.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami-0.08+0.94vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.85-2.01vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel-0.75+0.32vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College1.24-4.96vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University-0.45-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.77Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
-
4.31Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
-
4.46Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
-
3.39College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
-
5.53Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
-
4.54North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
-
7.94University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.99Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
-
9.32The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
-
5.04Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
-
8.71Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 14.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eliott Raison | 21.1% | 22.3% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Oliver West | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 16.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Camden Hom | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 22.1% | 44.7% |
| Milo Miller | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 23.6% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.