← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University0.61+5.76vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.08+3.49vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.61+1.47vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College1.24+1.29vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.12-1.73vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.54-1.49vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.62-2.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.08+0.01vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University0.85-2.86vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University-0.45-1.27vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel-0.75-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.76Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
-
5.49Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
-
4.47Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.29Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
-
3.27College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
-
4.51North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
-
4.13Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.01University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
-
6.14Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
-
8.73Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
-
9.2The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Eliott Raison | 24.7% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 15.0% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Oliver West | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 17.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 23.8% | 30.2% |
| Camden Hom | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 22.1% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.