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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.12+2.36vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.08+5.26vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54+0.65vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.61+1.62vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.61-1.59vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.62-2.83vs Predicted
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8Rollins College1.24-2.93vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.75+0.29vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.45-1.27vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.85-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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5.52Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.65North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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6.62Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.41Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.17Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
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5.07Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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9.29The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.73Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.92Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 21.7% | 20.7% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Oliver West | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 23.0% | 19.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 13.4% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Milo Miller | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Camden Hom | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 21.5% | 43.3% |
| Neil Bunce | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 28.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.