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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.87vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19-0.19vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.17+0.58vs Predicted
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40.02-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Hillsdale College1.0440.2%1st Place
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1.81Indiana University1.1942.0%1st Place
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3.58Northwestern University-1.174.1%1st Place
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2.730.0213.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 40.2% | 36.2% | 20.2% | 3.4% |
| Nithya Balachander | 42.0% | 37.0% | 18.6% | 2.4% |
| Azim Usmanov | 4.1% | 6.6% | 16.2% | 73.2% |
| Alex Day | 13.7% | 20.2% | 45.0% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.