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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.51vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+4.27vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.26vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.03vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.24+3.53vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.65-1.26vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01-0.60vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.50-0.41vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.23+3.45vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University0.45+0.77vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.49-0.42vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72-1.94vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.07-4.12vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.48-1.04vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.20-3.50vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.22-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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6.27Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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8.53Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.74Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.4Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.59Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.45Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.77Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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10.58Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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10.06Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.88Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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12.96Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.5Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 20.7% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 23.5% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Dan Ricker | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 12.7% |
| Edgar Girtain | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 18.9% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 5.6% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 18.3% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.