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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+3.43vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.12+1.26vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.62+1.42vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+2.83vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.85+1.04vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.08-0.40vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.54-2.69vs Predicted
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8Rollins College1.24-2.94vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.08-0.88vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.75-0.75vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.45-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.26College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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4.42Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.83Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.04Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.6Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.31North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.06Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.25The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.68Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Eliott Raison | 24.5% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 13.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 2.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Milo Miller | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Oliver West | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 18.7% |
| Camden Hom | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 44.3% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 26.4% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.