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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+3.53vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.62+2.44vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.08+2.88vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+3.05vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.12-1.60vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.54-1.36vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.24-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.72-1.54vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.75+0.44vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.45-1.09vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.85-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.44Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.88Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.05Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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3.4College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.14Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Miami0.720.1%1st Place
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9.44The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.91Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.11Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 11.0% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 6.9% |
| Eliott Raison | 24.6% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Milo Miller | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Long | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Camden Hom | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 21.0% | 48.3% |
| Neil Bunce | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 25.6% | 32.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.