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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+3.52vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+3.67vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+3.46vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.12-0.54vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54-0.39vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.62-1.54vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.61-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.72-1.54vs Predicted
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9Rollins College1.24-3.54vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.45-1.09vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.75-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.46Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.46College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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4.61North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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4.46Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.64Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Miami0.720.1%1st Place
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5.46Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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8.91Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.35The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 4.2% |
| Eliott Raison | 21.7% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Nathan Long | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 4.3% |
| Milo Miller | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 25.8% | 33.7% |
| Camden Hom | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.