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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+3.46vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.62+2.32vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.61+3.91vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85+2.37vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.24+0.24vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.12-2.64vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.08-1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.34-0.76vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.45-0.08vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.54-5.55vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.75-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.32Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.91Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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6.37Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.24Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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3.36College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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5.43Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Miami0.340.0%1st Place
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8.92Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
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4.45North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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9.29The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 14.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 6.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Milo Miller | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Eliott Raison | 22.7% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Dan Elling | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 8.3% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 35.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Camden Hom | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 22.4% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.