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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.12+2.32vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+3.61vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.34+3.59vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.24+0.25vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.62-1.59vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.75+2.21vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.54-3.54vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.61-2.23vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.45-1.16vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.85-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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5.61Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.56Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Miami0.340.0%1st Place
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5.25Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.41Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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9.21The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.46North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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6.77Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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8.84Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.99Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 22.5% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Dan Elling | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 11.1% |
| Milo Miller | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 13.7% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Camden Hom | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 22.6% | 43.6% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.9% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 32.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.