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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.05+4.53vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.62+2.01vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.24+2.11vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61+0.23vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08+0.35vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.85-0.08vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.61-0.68vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.54-3.83vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.45-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.14-2.58vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.75-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53College of Charleston1.050.1%1st Place
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4.01Eckerd College1.620.2%1st Place
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5.11Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.23Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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5.35Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.92Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.32Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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8.77Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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9.16The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Beaulieu | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 17.5% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Milo Miller | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Neil Bunce | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 21.5% | 34.6% |
| Christopher McCollum | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 11.1% |
| Camden Hom | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 22.0% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.