Race 11B

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Igoe 14.9% 15.4% 14.2% 13.5% 11.8% 11.9% 8.3% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Griffin Beaulieu 10.1% 9.0% 9.7% 10.1% 12.4% 11.0% 11.4% 8.8% 10.3% 5.8% 1.4%
Blake Goodwin 9.4% 9.0% 8.4% 9.9% 12.5% 11.5% 10.6% 11.9% 8.9% 6.3% 1.6%
Pj Rodrigues 15.1% 15.2% 13.3% 14.5% 11.9% 11.3% 7.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Tyler Brown 5.9% 7.6% 7.4% 7.0% 8.2% 8.7% 10.8% 12.4% 14.9% 12.2% 4.9%
Milo Miller 11.2% 11.2% 11.6% 11.4% 12.5% 10.9% 10.3% 7.9% 6.6% 5.2% 1.2%
Aston Atherton 9.8% 7.5% 8.7% 9.9% 10.2% 9.8% 12.7% 12.7% 9.6% 6.0% 3.1%
Jacob Usher 16.2% 16.5% 15.4% 12.7% 9.7% 9.5% 7.8% 7.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.5%
Neil Bunce 2.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 4.0% 6.1% 8.2% 11.9% 22.3% 34.1%
Christopher McCollum 3.8% 4.9% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% 7.2% 10.1% 11.4% 16.9% 17.9% 11.2%
Camden Hom 1.2% 1.4% 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 4.2% 4.7% 7.1% 11.2% 21.1% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.