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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.93vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+3.28vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.23+8.55vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.37vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.24+2.53vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.65-2.22vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.01-1.78vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University0.45+1.65vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.07-1.02vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.50-3.27vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.49-1.39vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.72-3.06vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College0.20-2.64vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.48-1.84vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.22-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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6.28Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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12.55Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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3.63University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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8.53Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.78Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.22Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.65Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.98Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.73Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.61Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.94Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.36Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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13.16Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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14.51University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 24.2% | 21.0% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 21.3% | 13.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 17.7% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Dan Ricker | 13.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edgar Girtain | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Gene Merewether | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 5.3% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 23.5% | 20.4% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.