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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College1.04+0.86vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19-0.20vs Predicted
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30.02-0.25vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.17-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Hillsdale College1.0440.6%1st Place
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1.8Indiana University1.1943.2%1st Place
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2.750.0212.4%1st Place
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3.59Northwestern University-1.173.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 40.6% | 36.0% | 19.7% | 3.6% |
| Nithya Balachander | 43.2% | 36.2% | 17.6% | 2.9% |
| Alex Day | 12.4% | 21.1% | 45.9% | 20.6% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.8% | 6.6% | 16.9% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.