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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.24+7.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.01vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+1.40vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.65-1.24vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.49+3.68vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.01-1.77vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.50-1.33vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.23+2.52vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.07-2.08vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72-1.94vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University0.45-2.30vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College0.20-2.68vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.22-0.51vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.48-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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3.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.3%1st Place
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3.55University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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6.4Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.76Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.68Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.67Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.52Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.92Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.06Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.7Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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11.32Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
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13.16Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 26.1% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 20.6% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 11.7% |
| Natalie Ross | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Edgar Girtain | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 54.7% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 24.3% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.