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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+7.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+6.54vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+3.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+4.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+3.06vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.33+1.68vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.43+5.11vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.45+3.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.09vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.58vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.75vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-0.46vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.53-5.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.66-4.35vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-4.42vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-4.99vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.79vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.53-1.02vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College1.59-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.54Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.68Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.11Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.46Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.54Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.13Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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11.58Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.01Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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17.98University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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15.21Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 13.4% | 59.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 21.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.