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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+9.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+6.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.69vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+2.34vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.45+6.52vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.59+9.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.10+2.02vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66+1.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-2.78vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.33-4.12vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.42vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.53-2.80vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-2.81vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.53-9.22vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.43-5.44vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.84vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.53-1.02vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College2.45-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.52Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.21Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.36Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.2Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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12.19Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.56Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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17.98University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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11.81Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 5.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 12.8% | 59.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.