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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+5.73vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+11.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.33+4.82vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+7.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64+1.33vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.45+5.70vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23+1.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.99vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66+1.59vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.55vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.10-2.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.60vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.12-4.10vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.45-2.42vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-2.82vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.10-7.35vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-8.02vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.43-6.13vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College1.59-3.91vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.53-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.06University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.28Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.7Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.58Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.18Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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15.09Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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18.1University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 22.8% | 14.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.