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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+9.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+6.70vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+3.46vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.19vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.66+5.62vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.45+5.73vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+5.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-0.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.53+2.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.83vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.10-2.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-0.06vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.12-4.03vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.32-1.90vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.13-2.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.59-1.00vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.53+0.99vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.53-11.14vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-8.53vs Predicted
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20Brown University3.33-12.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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11.73Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.02Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.23Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.94Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.97Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.1Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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15.0Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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17.99University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack Egan | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 5.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 14.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 13.2% | 59.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.