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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+6.11vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+5.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.10+8.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+9.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+1.20vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.79+2.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.44+3.22vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30+2.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.87vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.82+0.91vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.59-3.50vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.57vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-4.31vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-3.18vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.74-8.65vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.35-7.54vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin-0.26-0.39vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College1.50-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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13.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.2Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.35Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.22Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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12.91Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.5Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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12.82Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.35Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.46College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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18.61University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.14Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Peter Busch | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 3.3% |
| Chase Decker | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Jack Flores | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 4.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 71.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.