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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.24+7.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.60vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.65+0.80vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.78vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+0.40vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.23+5.54vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.07+0.83vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.50-1.32vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-3.64vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.49-0.39vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72-1.96vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.20-1.58vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.48-1.04vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University0.45-4.18vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.22-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.6University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.8Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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3.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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6.4Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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12.54Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.83Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.68Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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6.36Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.61Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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10.04Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.42Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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12.96Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.82Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| George Prieto | 18.1% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 20.0% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 23.7% | 21.2% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.4% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 21.8% | 13.7% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Gene Merewether | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 18.2% |
| Edgar Girtain | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.