← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.55+8.37vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.03+5.35vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.59+6.41vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.30+6.61vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.27+5.65vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.29+0.33vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.43vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.50+5.89vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.05-1.89vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.18vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.74-2.38vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.35-1.36vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.44-2.65vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.79-5.71vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-1.97vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.05-4.24vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.10-5.72vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.82-5.17vs Predicted
-
19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-8.48vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin-0.26-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
-
7.35Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
9.41Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
10.61Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
10.65University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
6.33Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
13.89Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.11Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.82University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
-
8.62Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
-
10.64College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
-
10.35Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
-
8.29Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
-
13.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.76Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.28University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
12.83Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
-
10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
-
18.71University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 6.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Peter Busch | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Reade Decker | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 3.9% |
| John Eastman | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.